Betting Bankroll Planner – How Does It Work?

Oddsmart Matched Betting Software Suite Forums Casino Calculators Betting Bankroll Planner – How Does It Work?

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    Oddsmart Admin
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    Oddsmart’s Betting Bankroll Planner helps you choose the right staking strategy—flat, Kelly or Martingale—to meet your matched-betting wagering requirements while managing risk.

    Why It Matters
    Picking arbitrary stakes can blow your bankroll or leave bonuses uncleared. Our Tester models three core plans side-by-side so you can compare speed, volatility and ruin probability.

    Strategies Compared

    Flat: Bet the same amount every time. Simple and low-volatility, but may clear turnover slowly.

    Kelly: Stake a fraction of your bankroll proportional to your edge (win probability × (odds–1) – loss probability). Maximises growth and minimises ruin if your win-rate estimate is accurate.

    Martingale: Double your stake after each loss until a win recoups losses plus base profit. Fast in theory but exposes you to huge drawdowns and bust risk.

    How It Works

    Inputs: Bankroll, turnover requirement, flat stake, Kelly odds & win rate, Martingale base stake, levels & win rate.

    Outputs: For each plan—bets or cycles to clear, turnover per cycle, total bets, bust probability, max exposure and required stake sizes.

    Real-World Example
    With £1,000 bankroll, £2,000 turnover, 2.0 odds and 47% win rate:

    Flat at £10 needs 200 bets.

    Kelly at £130 needs ~15 bets.

    Martingale with five levels needs ~1,224 bets and carries a ~3% bust chance.

    By instantly quantifying trade-offs, Oddsmart’s Tester lets you pick the strategy that clears your bonus efficiently—without risking your balance.

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